Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.156308 0.176381 0.197495 0.221305 0.247355 0.274936 0.306291
2025-03-23 0.131295 0.158701 0.189070 0.225032 0.266263 0.311861 0.365902
2025-03-30 0.110515 0.142113 0.178784 0.224089 0.278134 0.340107 0.416089
2025-04-06 0.094484 0.128673 0.170070 0.223195 0.288818 0.366458 0.464432
2025-04-13 0.081658 0.117387 0.162390 0.222184 0.298398 0.391096 0.511048
2025-04-20 0.072639 0.109767 0.158248 0.224701 0.311779 0.420272 0.563732
2025-04-27 0.066448 0.105106 0.157259 0.230760 0.329447 0.455002 0.624138
2025-05-04 0.059530 0.098592 0.153032 0.231878 0.340267 0.480960 0.673861
2025-05-11 0.054832 0.094714 0.151960 0.236918 0.356168 0.513695 0.733008
2025-05-18 0.051074 0.091797 0.151884 0.243091 0.373574 0.548697 0.795880
2025-05-25 0.045700 0.085786 0.146729 0.241492 0.379826 0.568603 0.838902
2025-06-01 0.041319 0.080882 0.142770 0.241220 0.387662 0.590608 0.885038
2025-06-08 0.036975 0.075690 0.138108 0.239788 0.394005 0.611121 0.930353
2025-06-15 0.034528 0.073482 0.137940 0.245085 0.410274 0.645922 0.996266
2025-06-22 0.031239 0.069413 0.134412 0.244853 0.418149 0.668868 1.046036
2025-06-29 0.028257 0.065561 0.130904 0.244348 0.425429 0.690989 1.095015
2025-07-06 0.025540 0.061889 0.127385 0.243529 0.432036 0.712139 1.142941
2025-07-13 0.023673 0.059669 0.126192 0.246395 0.444373 0.741940 1.203936
2025-07-20 0.022518 0.058761 0.127242 0.253011 0.462783 0.781176 1.279482
2025-07-27 0.020720 0.056296 0.125253 0.254270 0.472550 0.807529 1.336516
2025-08-03 0.019618 0.055202 0.125707 0.259727 0.489226 0.844702 1.410296
2025-08-10 0.018741 0.054507 0.126847 0.266390 0.508025 0.885497 1.490233
2025-08-17 0.016978 0.051568 0.123424 0.264681 0.512790 0.904585 1.537752